How to Evaluate Player Value
Points Per Game Analysis
The most fundamental metric for player valuation is PPG (Points Per Game). However, context matters:
- Recent trends: Weight the last 4 weeks more heavily than early season
- Opponent adjustments: Did they feast on weak defenses or dominate elite ones?
- Game script: Were they in positive or negative game scripts?
2025 Season Real-Time Examples (Week 8)
Christian McCaffrey - RB1 Overall (Week 8 Update)
Week 8 Performance: Career-low 6.8 PPG vs Texans (25 rush yards, 8 carries, 3 catches, 43 yards). This highlights volatility in rushing efficiency (3.1 YPC) despite elite receiving volume (46 catches on 60 targets through Week 8). Week 9 Outlook: Matchup vs Giants (30th-ranked rush defense, 148.9 yards/game allowed) presents positive bounce-back opportunity. 17.6 PPG average remains elite despite bad Week 8.
Ja'Marr Chase - WR1/WR2 Contender (November Surge)
November Dominance: Chase has posted 25 receptions, 482 yards, and 5 TDs in just 3 November games (highest in the NFL for any WR). With Joe Flacco at QB: averaging 28.1 PPR points/game (up from 12.6 PPR overall). Target rate increased to 18 targets/game average. Season stats: WR3 position at 12.6 PPR PPG (100.6 total points through Week 8). Week 9 vs Bears: Top QB matchup opportunity (Bears defense vulnerable to WRs).
Justin Jefferson - WR2 Overall
Elite WR despite season-long inconsistency. 2025 consensus: better than CeeDee Lamb due to consistency and stable QB situation. 1,533 yards pace through Week 8.
Volume Metrics
Volume is king in fantasy football. Key metrics to track:
Snap Count Percentage
Players on the field more have more opportunities. Target 70%+ snap shares for consistent production.
Target/Touch Share
What percentage of team opportunities do they command? 20%+ is elite territory for skill players.
Red Zone Usage
Touchdowns win weeks. Track red zone targets and carries—this predicts future scoring.
Schedule Strength Analysis
Remaining schedule dramatically impacts player value:
- Playoff schedule: Weeks 15-17 matter most for contenders
- Defensive matchups: Identify favorable stretches to buy
- Bye week timing: Factor this into trade timing
Get Accurate Player Values
Our Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer combines all these metrics—PPG, volume, schedule, and more—to provide accurate, up-to-date player valuations for your trades.
Value Your Players