Common Trade Mistakes to Avoid
Psychological Traps
Recency Bias
Overvaluing players based on their last game instead of sustained performance. One 30-point game doesn't make a player elite.
Solution: Look at 4-6 week trends, not single games. Check underlying metrics like targets and touches.
Sunk Cost Fallacy
Refusing to trade away high draft picks who are underperforming. "I drafted him in Round 2, I can't give up on him now!"
Solution: Draft position is irrelevant after Week 1. Judge players on current production and opportunity.
Confirmation Bias
Only seeking information that supports keeping "your guys." Ignoring red flags because you want to believe.
Solution: Actively seek contrarian viewpoints. Ask yourself: "What would make me wrong about this player?"
Panic Trading Scenarios
The worst trades happen when emotions override logic:
😱 After a Bad Loss
Lost 120-180? Don't blow up your roster. One week doesn't define your season. Stick to your process.
🤕 Injury Panic
"Questionable" doesn't mean season-ending. Wait for actual injury reports before dumping players at 50% value.
📉 Slow Start Overreaction
Elite players have slow starts. Don't sell McCaffrey for pennies after Week 2 just because he's RB15.
Common Structural Mistakes
- Trading depth for studs when thin: Don't trade your RB3/4 if you have injury concerns
- Accepting 2-for-1 trades blindly: Getting two WR2s for one WR1 often makes both teams worse
- Ignoring bye weeks: Trading for players who share your team's bye week creates lineup chaos
Avoid Costly Mistakes
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