FFTradeAnalyzer
Trade Strategy
November 3, 2026
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14 min read
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FF Trade Analyzer Team

Week 9 Trade Board: Jonathan Taylor Before the November 10 Deadline

Jonathan Taylor is still a Colt one week from the NFL trade deadline. Indianapolis has turned down a 2027 second-round pick plus another pick, Ian Rapoport has compared the ask to the 2022 Christian McCaffrey package, and Jordan Schultz's sources say a deal is more likely than not. Aditi Kinkhabwala reported before Sunday's game that the Colts were not soliciting offers. How to price a keep, a sell, or a buy before Tuesday.

Week 9Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis ColtsTrade DeadlineDynasty

The door is open. The trade is not done.

Jonathan Taylor is still on the Colts. The NFL deadline is Tuesday, November 10, at 4:00 p.m. New York time. The league's 2026-27 calendar states it directly: "All trading ends for 2026 at 4:00 p.m., New York time." That clock moves rosters between NFL clubs. It does not close a trade inside a fantasy league. Confirm the date in your league settings with the fantasy trade-deadline guide.

The October 31 board is the price from Saturday, when Adam Schefter reported that Indianapolis was open to trading Taylor and that talks were active. This page is the price after that window: the package the Colts turned down, the return Ian Rapoport has compared to the 2022 Christian McCaffrey trade, the clubs that have checked in since, Sunday's game, and the CBS report that Indianapolis was not soliciting offers before kickoff. No destination has been announced.

What the reporting says now

Colts Wire carried Tom Pelissero's Saturday report. The Colts said no to a 2027 second-round pick plus an additional pick. Pelissero's line, as that story quotes it, is that Indianapolis is "making clear they'd want a premium to trade the face of the franchise." The extra pick's round was not reported. A rejected second is a floor the club has already walked past. It is not an asking price.

Pro Football Rumors' November 1 roundup restates the rejected offer as a second-round pick plus another selection. The same paragraph attributes a higher comparison to Rapoport: he believes the club could be seeking a package akin to the one the Panthers received from the 49ers for Christian McCaffrey in 2022. The 49ers' announcement of that deal was a 2023 second, a 2023 third, a 2023 fourth, and a 2024 fifth. "Could be seeking" is Rapoport's read of the ask. It is not a Colts price sheet, and it is not a completed trade.

Jordan Schultz's sources, in that same roundup, say it is looking more likely than not that Indianapolis trades Taylor. That is a probability from his sources. It is not a transaction. Treat it as a reason the phone is still on, and as a reason someone in your league may pay a landing-spot premium you should not be the one paying.

The other side of the same weekend is CBS. Before Sunday's kickoff, Aditi Kinkhabwala reported that the Colts were getting calls and were not out shopping him. Her words, as CBS quoted them: "I have been assured by the Colts that they are not soliciting offers for the running back and that they are not actively seeking to move him." She also reported that owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon "didn't give him any assurances that he is definitely going to stay on the team." Both sentences can be true. Not soliciting is not the same as refusing a premium, and the absence of an assurance is not a deal.

Who has been connected, and who has only checked in

Saturday's ESPN reporting, as CBS summarized it, listed interest from the Broncos, Packers, Vikings, Giants, and Seahawks. Pro Football Rumors is tighter on the Rapoport and Schefter confirmation: the Giants, Vikings, Packers, and Broncos. That roundup says those two did not repeat Seattle in the Saturday update. Jeremy Fowler, in the same piece, lists running back as a position the Seahawks could chase before the deadline. That is not a Taylor agreement, and it is not a reason to reprice Seattle's backs. The skill-player prices from the Nelson trade stay on the October 28 board until a second deal is posted.

Two clubs are new to the public list, and both are short of an offer.

James Palmer of NFL on Prime reported that the Chiefs are monitoring, as Pro Football Rumors cites him. Monitoring is not a bid. Kansas City already has Kenneth Walker. Do not sell Walker because the club is watching, and do not pay Taylor as if he had a Chiefs role.

Jordan Schultz says the Bengals have checked in. Checking in is not a bid. Do not sell Chase Brown on a phone call, and do not add a sweetener because Cincinnati was named in a roundup.

The October 31 fit piece treated Green Bay as less likely with Josh Jacobs back. The later interest list puts the Packers back among the clubs that have been connected. That is still not an agreement. Do not sell Jacobs, and do not pay a Green Bay landing.

Saquon Barkley is the rumor that closed. NFL.com reported Sunday that the Eagles will not trade him before November 10, citing NFL Network insiders Mike Garafolo and Ian Rapoport. After Philadelphia's 27-10 loss at Washington, ESPN quoted Barkley on the front office's assurance: "When that message was relayed to me, it definitely does mean a lot." He added that he wants to be "one of the reasons why we fix it." There is no Barkley discount to shop. Taylor is the star back still in play. Barkley's roster spot in Philadelphia does not change Taylor's price.

The line you are buying this week

Sunday changed the production, not the team. NFL.com's game log and ESPN's game log both have the Jaguars game: eight carries, 23 yards, no touchdown, four catches for 24 yards, and a fumble lost. Indianapolis lost 42-7 and fell to 2-6. The Colts' schedule lists that result and the record.

Through eight games the same logs have 148 carries, 610 rushing yards, and eight rushing touchdowns, plus 21 catches for 202 yards. ESPN's season line lists those eight rushing scores as tied for second. The October 31 board had the same eight scores, on 587 rushing yards, tied for the league lead before Sunday. The touchdowns did not grow. The rank did. Pay for 610 yards and a quiet Week 8. Do not pay for the lead he no longer holds alone, and do not dock him to a flex because one afternoon was eight carries in a blowout.

The next game is still his unless a trade or an injury report says otherwise. Dallas visits on Sunday, November 8, at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX. Miami visits on Sunday, November 15, at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS. November 15 is after the deadline. That start belongs to a Colt if nothing is agreed, and to a new team if something is. Do not price it as either one today.

The contract is why a premium can still die

Taylor signed a two-year, $44 million extension on August 6. It runs through 2028. Over The Cap lists a 2026 base salary of $6.98 million, per-game roster bonuses worth up to $1.02 million, and up to $3 million in additional incentives. The 2027 base on that sheet is $15 million. Over The Cap says that salary and the per-game bonus become guaranteed on the fifth day of the waiver period, and its table dates the trigger to February 25, 2027.

Spotrac has the same 2026 base, $6.98 million, and a per-game active bonus of $60,000, up to $1.02 million. It lists $16.02 million of 2027 compensation becoming fully guaranteed on February 19, 2027, and it lists 2028 cash of $17.98 million, including a $7.5 million roster bonus. The 2027 and 2028 cash together is about $34 million, which is the two-year figure in Saturday's coverage. A pre-June 1 trade, which a November deal is, leaves $17,567,440 in dead money on the 2026 cap, on Spotrac's trade line. The signing bonus already paid does not move with him.

Pro Football Rumors put the cash an acquiring team would still owe for the rest of 2026 at about $4.4 million, plus up to $1 million in incentives. That remainder is from the November 1 roundup, written before Sunday's game. Use it as the reported cost of the rest of this season.

None of the 2027 vesting dates has arrived. A buyer would be taking a back under club control through 2028, at a 2026 number that is a fraction of the annual average, with next year's guarantee still ahead of him. That is why talks can be active, a second-round package can be rejected, and Tuesday can still pass with Taylor in Indianapolis. The dynasty trade guide is the longer split between a one-year back and a multi-year back. This contract is the split that applies here.

Redraft: ignore the dead money when you compare two lineups for November. Use the contract only as a reason the deal might not happen. If your Week 9 start only works on a new team, you are early.

Dynasty: the years are the asset. Control through 2028 is why a rebuilder should not dump him because the record is 2-6, and why a buyer should not demand a rental discount. The rejected 2027 second is an NFL draft price. It is not your league's pick chart.

If you already roster Taylor

Redraft default: hold, and start him against Dallas if he is active and still a Colt. Eight carries and a lost fumble are a reason to listen. They are not a reason to bench him for a committee back you trust less, and they are not a reason to accept a flex because Schultz's sources lean toward a deal.

Sell when the return is a player you would start the rest of the way, plus enough extra that you are paid for 610 rushing yards, eight scores, and 21 catches. Also sell when another manager is paying you for Kansas City, Cincinnati, Denver, Green Bay, Minnesota, the Giants, or Seattle. That manager is buying a list. You can take that price. You should not be the one paying it.

Decline the offer that is only the headline. A bench receiver, a handcuff, or a pick that does nothing in a one-year league is a donation. "More likely than not" is not a lineup.

Dynasty default: hold. A contender can move him when the package includes a back who starts the rest of 2026 and a future piece that replaces part of 2027 and 2028. A rebuilder who sells because the ask sounds like the McCaffrey haul is translating an NFL package into a fantasy pick and hoping the rates match. They do not, unless the players and picks in the offer are ones you actually want for those years.

Write the starts you would gain between now and your fantasy playoffs on one line. Write the 2027 and 2028 production you are handing over on the next. If the first line is full and the second line is replaced, listen. If the package only solves a Tuesday that may not produce a trade, keep him.

Run the names through your league's scoring in the trade analyzer before you accept. Standard, half-PPR, and full PPR do not share one Taylor price, because 21 catches are in the line. Superflex does not change the hold. He is a running back.

If you are trying to buy him

Pay for the back with 610 rushing yards and eight scores, coming off eight carries in a 42-7 loss, still in Indianapolis until a deal is posted. Do not add a second starter because he might join a contender. If you buy him this week, you own the Dallas start if he stays and you own the new team if he moves. Staying put means the lead-back job on a 2-6 team that has already traded Quenton Nelson. That is already in the price.

The buy is attractive when the owner is stacking the record, the quiet Week 8, and the rumor into one discount. Offer a package you can replace. If the offer only works once he is a Bronco, a Packer, a Viking, a Giant, a Seahawk, a Chief, or a Bengal, you are buying a list, not a transaction.

Kinkhabwala's report is the reason to leave the sweetener out. A club that was not soliciting offers on Sunday morning can still take a premium by Tuesday, and it can also keep him. Dynasty buyers should treat the contract through 2028 as the reason to engage, and the missing destination as the reason not to add a pick for a specific team.

What a deal would change, and what it does not change yet

The Colts' backfield. The October 26 board treated Seth McGowan as the contingency. He remains a small stash if you own Taylor or if a bench spot is free. He is not a Week 9 start while Taylor is on the roster. A completed trade might open the job, and only if Indianapolis does not bring another back back in the deal. Spend a few dollars of a $100 FAAB budget, or a waiver priority you can spare. A bid built for a clear starter assumes a job the Colts have not opened.

Backs on the named clubs. Hold them. Interest, monitoring, and a check-in are not role changes. Reprice a Broncos, Packers, Vikings, Giants, Seahawks, Chiefs, or Bengals back only after a trade is agreed. The October 28 board still has the Seattle skill-player prices from the Nelson deal. Those prices do not move because Fowler listed running back as a need.

Washington. Jeremy McNichols is expected to miss multiple months with the foot injury he suffered in Sunday night's win over the Eagles, Draft Sharks reported on November 3, citing The Athletic's Tashan Reed. He had been in a committee with Rachaad White and Austin Ekeler, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt is on injured reserve. That thins Washington's own backfield. It does not make Taylor a Commander. The October 31 fit list included Washington as analysis. The interest reports above do not. White is the back who gains a path to more carries. He is not a start you force into a Taylor package.

The Jets. Breece Hall is expected back this week. Jets offensive coordinator Frank Reich, via NBC Sports on November 3, said, "I'm assuming Breece is our guy." Head coach Aaron Glenn has knocked down the idea of trading Hall before the deadline. Do not sell Hall as if New York is moving him, and do not hand the lead job to Braelon Allen on a sentence that still calls Hall the guy. Reich also praised Allen. Praise is not a depth chart.

Everyone else who stays in Indianapolis. They do not inherit eight rushing touchdowns. Start the Colts you were already going to start while the roster is the one that will play Dallas. Add a bump only after a transaction posts.

Lamar Jackson's thumb is a different price, on the November 2 board. That injury does not move Taylor, and this deadline does not move Thursday in Baltimore.

The clock runs to Tuesday

  • Saturday, October 31. The club is open. Talks are active. Pelissero's rejected package is a 2027 second plus another pick. No deal is done. That record is the October 31 board.
  • Sunday, November 1. Jacksonville won 42-7. Taylor had eight carries for 23 yards. Before kickoff, Kinkhabwala reported that Indianapolis was not soliciting offers and had not assured him he would stay. Schultz's "more likely than not," Rapoport's McCaffrey comparison, and the Chiefs and Bengals notes are in the November 1 roundup.
  • Sunday, November 8, 1:00 p.m. ET. Dallas, if he is still a Colt and available. That is a start. Revisit it only if a trade is posted during the week or an injury report says he is out.
  • Tuesday, November 10, 4:00 p.m. New York time. If nothing is agreed, he remains a Colt and the landing-spot premium expires. If something is agreed, reprice him on the new team and reprice the back he replaces. Your league's deadline may be earlier or later. Confirm it before you assume Tuesday is your last window.
  • Sunday, November 15. Miami at Indianapolis, if he was not traded. That week is the first one that can only be priced after the deadline.

What to do before that deadline

  • Start Taylor in redraft against Dallas if he is active and still a Colt. The season line is 610 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and 21 catches. The Week 8 line is eight carries for 23 yards.
  • Sell only for a rest-of-season starter plus extra, or if someone pays you for a landing spot that has not been agreed.
  • Buy only at the nervous price. Do not add a sweetener for Denver, Green Bay, Minnesota, the Giants, Seattle, Kansas City, or Cincinnati.
  • In dynasty, hold unless the package replaces part of 2027 and 2028. The extension runs through 2028. The 2027 guarantee has not vested. About $4.4 million for the rest of 2026, in the November 1 roundup, is the reported in-season cash, not a reason to treat him as a rental.
  • Stash Seth McGowan cheaply if you own Taylor or have an open bench spot. Do not start him on a rumor.
  • Leave Barkley, Hall, and McNichols on their own prices. Philadelphia is keeping Barkley. Reich still calls Hall the guy. McNichols being out for months does not create a Taylor trade.
  • On November 10, if he is still a Colt, drop the landing-spot premium and keep the lead-back price. If he has been traded, price the new team that day.
SituationRedraftDynasty
You roster TaylorHold and start him against Dallas if he is active and still a Colt. Sell for a rest-of-season starter plus extra, or if a manager pays for an unagreed landing spot.Hold. Sell only when the return covers 2026 starts and part of 2027-2028.
You want TaylorBuy the 610-yard season if the owner is discounting the record and the eight-carry game. Do not pay a contender premium.Buy the contract through 2028 at the nervous price. Do not add a pick for a specific team.
Backs on the named teamsHold. Interest, monitoring, and a check-in are not a role change.Hold. Reprice them only after a trade is agreed.
Seth McGowanSmall stash if you own Taylor or have a free bench spot. Not a start.Bench or taxi flier. Do not send a pick.
Saquon BarkleyThe Eagles are not trading him. Price the back you have, not a deadline move.Same. The assurance is a 2026 roster fact, not a new contract.
Breece HallExpected back. Reich's assumption is that Hall remains the lead back. Do not sell him on a deadline rumor.Hold. Glenn has knocked down a trade.
Sources

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